Tag Archives: interest rates

Survey Says: We’re Worried About Our Debts…Ya Think?

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This week, RBC released their Consumer Outlook survey, and it shows that more and more of us are worried about our debt load. I think that’s great news in that we’re finally getting real and seeing that borrowing money does not work, and being broke is not a fun way to go through life.

Fundamentally, it’s a real problem when we stay optimistic about our debts. THAT is what gets us broke! When we talk ourselves into buying this or that on credit, thinking that the payment isn’t that big a deal, we’re on a slippery slope of trouble. We block out the fact that it might take two minutes to spend it, but it’ll take years to pay it off!

A way better mindset is to be pessimistic about our debts and optimistic about our incomes. Instead, the survey shows that we believe we can become debt free reasonably quickly, but we’re worried about our job security. To me, that’s the wrong way around. We should be pessimistic about our finances. It’s what makes us realize maybe we can’t pay that payment for years, what happens when rates go up, I’m going to be in trouble if I carry my credit card at the max, and so on.

Yet, on the income side, 24% of us are worried about a job loss. To put it in perspective, however, the unemployment rate is 8.5%. But 5.5% or so is full employment. We know that from just a year or so ago. So, the real unemployment rate is around 3% and 24% of us worry. That’s a total disconnect between the two!

On the optimistic side, thinking we’ll pay off our debts pretty quickly, the numbers are even more surprising:

18-34 year olds expect to be debt free by age 43.
35-54 year olds think it’ll be at age 59. Yet, the group that’s closest to that age, those age 55 and older, think it’ll be at least until age 66! So a heads up to those under age 34: It ain’t going to happen! No way, no how – honestly. Sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but the reality is that you’ll likely have a mortgage payment of 25 to 30 years which right there, alone, makes it impossible.

And almost everyone under age 54 has a car payment. The average car payment is $480, financed over seven years. What’s a seven year old car worth? Exactly. So what happens then? We finance another one and go on another seven year broke cycle. Skipping one of these seven year finance cycles and putting that money into an investment account or RRSP will be over a million dollars when you retire. Instead, we buy something that’s worth less and less each month and keep paying and paying.

Keep in mind that every time you commit to a payment, you’re voluntarily taking a pay cut! That payment has to be made, so it’s money you no longer get to keep! It may be that $200 credit card payment, $400 car, the financed furniture, or whatever. Yet, if our boss wants to give us a pay cut we go insane. But we do it to ourselves every time we borrow!

One more thing which will become really important to all of our finances over the next year or so: The RBC survey showed that only 57% of us think interest rates will go higher. Excuse me? Rates are the lowest they’ve been in generations. So when they move, where do they HAVE to go? Up! And every line of credit and every variable mortgage will take some big jumps. The It’s Your Money book has a chart that asks how ready we are for the next rate increase. Anyone with just $150,000 of debt being hit with a 3% rate increase will spend another $329 after tax for nothing but more interest. And if we say we’re broke now, where’s that $329 going to come from?

What can we do? The really easy basics that 90% of us won’t do:
-Stop borrowing – period. When you’re in a hole, it makes sense to stop digging. Debt is NOT your friend.
-Do a written budget each month to know, not guess where your money is going
-Stop going to a restaurant unless you work there
-If your car is financed – sell it, no matter what you owe. That saved payment alone will likely get all your other debts paid off within a year. Drive a $2,000 beater for a couple of years until you’re debt free.
-Pay yourself first: Have some money taken right off your pay, or out of your bank account towards savings. If you don’t see it, you can’t spend it.
-Leave the credit cards with a relative. Out of sight, out of mind, and start paying in cash or by debit card.
-Get an emergency savings account of two weeks income so the next crisis will just be an inconvenience.

The Good News: Interest Rates Came Down this Week

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The better news: Sit tight – they’re coming down lots more. There’s no guarantee, because even weather forecasters can’t get it straight a week out, but with the huge drops in the U.S. and the slowdown in the economy, this one is kind of a no-brainer.

The bad news: It’s only a rate drop and all those bills you have still need to get paid. Kind of like gas prices dropping a couple of cents – real exciting, but not that big a deal in the big picture. But every bit helps…

If you’ve got debts ranging from mortgage loans to cars, lines of credits to credit cards, some will be affected, some won’t.

We’ll talk about mortgages and what to do if you’re in the middle of a fixed term in a couple of months when they come down some more. Yes, there is help and hope for you. But If you have a variable rate, or floating rate right now, your payment is coming down. If you’re mulling changing it to a fixed rate one – hang in there for the next couple of rate decreases before you lock it in.

Anyone considering borrowing when the rate goes down – your payments will be lower, and that’ll save you money – a little bit. But it’d be great if you held off a little longer for a few more rate decreases. Drive your car a little longer, get that line of credit a little later (if at all), or if you’re in the market for a home get the pre-approval in place now (it’s good for 60 to 90 days) to lock in the rate and lenders WILL give you the lower rate at the time you’re closing approaches.

If you’re looking to buy a new vehicle make sure to get the price from the dealer using either the rebate OR the cool rate they may offer. That cool rate just got less attractive so take the net price after the cash rebate and get a quote from a credit union. Very often the rebate and prime rate financing is better than the 1.9 or 2.9 the dealer has! But you’ll never know if you don’t do the comparison shopping!

Your credit cards won’t change at all – sorry. They’re around 19% average, they’re a rip off, and they ain’t moving – there’s way too much profit in the high rates they charge and you’re paying it so there’s no way they’re coming down. But until you really really believe they’re a rip-off, you’re not likely to get angry enough to change to a debit card and stop using credit cards altogether.

Lines of credit, however are all based on the prime interest rate. If it’s secured by your home, the payments are interest only, or if it’s an unsecured line it’s generally three percent payments. Those will drop. But why do you have the line of credit in the first place? If it was for an emergency, you’ll have a zero balance and it won’t matter.

If you do have a balance, don’t lower your payments with this interest drop. Keep paying what you’ve been paying. This is a huge opportunity to be able to pay the same amount of money but more of it will go to principal and you’ll have it paid off faster.

That applies to all of your borrowing. Is it to tread water and pay as little as possible or is it to use this rate decrease to step up to the chance to pay it off quicker? Only you can decide but there’s nothing like financial freedom with NO debts and monthly payments.

What Just Happened This Week?

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Wow – it’s only Wednesday and what a week it’s been in the financial markets.

Monday the world markets dropped enough to wipe out $5 trillion in wealth while the US markets were closed and Tuesday morning the US Federal Reserve dropped rates three quarters of a point.

Here in Canada they came down a quarter of a point that the banks did pass on, but there had been rumours that the no service mega banks were considering not lowering the prime rate.

While it was only a rumor that started back in December, there is no way to buy this kind of bad publicity is there? And how great that a number of media outlets, starting with columnist Greg Weston, brought this to the attention of the world.

The logic was that banks wouldn’t pass on the one-quarter point rate reduction to offset some of their rising expenses and that would include the billions of dollars some of them have lost in their subprime mortgage portfolio.

When the prime rate changes, it affects two-thirds of our borrowing costs, either directly or indirectly, for consumers and businesses. A lower rate is the Bank of Canada wanting to impact the economy, manufacturing, consumer spending and the dollar.

How dare the banks consider not moving down the prime at the same time? Isn’t it enough to keep charging us more and more interest, less and less competition and more service charges everywhere? Am I just cynical or are we supposed to cover some of their paper losses?

Just having this idea floated is another big reason to allow more competition in the banking field. In the U.S. there are about 3,000 financial institutions waking up each morning figuring out ways to bankrupt each other – that’s competition. Not the five we’ve got who want to merge into two or three.

But there’s good news in hearing banks might not change the rates. Because when we get mad – we get moving and there are alternatives for your financial needs:

For savings: ING right now is at 3.75%

For loans & mortgages: Credit unions are at or below the mega no service banks’ rates, are locally owned and run AND you’re a shareholder so you’ll get a large refund at the end of the year.

For RRSPs: Mine are with Primerica Financial. Many of their mutual funds have way better returns – and there are lots of other no-load no fee places to comparison shop.

Maybe this is another reminder to get informed because knowledge really is power and to remember to always always comparison shop. There are options and a lot of ways you can save interest and money.