Tag Archives: savings

Can You Do One Cash-Flow Statement?

Last week we briefly touched on the fact that gas and groceries keep going up. That makes your expenses go up and harder to save anything.

If all or part of your logical brain knows you’re spending more than you’re earning, that’s frustrating. But you can’t turn it around without a budget. That’s something 95% of people won’t do, because they somehow think it puts them in a straight-jackets. But it’s quite the opposite: A cash-flow statement, even just once, sets you free. You’ll know how much you’re prepared to spend for what each month. You’re not spending an unlimited amount of money that you don’t have groceries, lunch out, or the kids.

The best way is having the cash in a number of jars or envelopes. One envelope will be for groceries and food stuff. Every two weeks, the cash from your pay goes into the envelope. When you go to the store, it’s paid out of that money. When it’s gone – you’re done until the next payday. It works – but will you do it?

Hear me really clearly: You will never have enough money for what you WANT to spend. Never – no matter how much you earn. But you do have enough money for what you need to spend. But you have to manage your money, and not have your money manage you. I guarantee that most of us have a lot of our expenses go to the category of “not really sure.”

Save two weeks of your net pay in a separate emergency account.
Do a cash-flow statement of where your money is going to go for a full month. You’ll be really bad at it for the first three months and then you’ll love it and be really successful with it AND have at least $200 or $300 left over each month compared to right now.

People don’t decide their financial future with specific goal setting. They decide their habits, and their habits determine their financial future.

Financial Trouble for Seniors?

More and more stories are showing up everywhere about the financial troubles of seniors. These range from bankruptcy filings to collection troubles and living life below the poverty line. That’s pretty serious when those who have worked hard all their lives are having significant troubles making ends meet. However, it started way before retirement:

An RBC Consumer confidence index earlier this year found that 57% of us have nothing set aside for an emergency. If there’s not even a one-weeks’ pay set aside for emergency, what are the odds those people have any retirement savings?

Then there was a study a few years ago that showed almost 50% of us do not believe that a debt-free retirement is a must. I was somewhere between stunned and in disbelief. Is that really true? Do we believe having a bunch of monthly payment is OK when we reach the point of living on a fixed income, and there’s no more extra money coming in? Or have we just thrown up our hands and given up and given in – to the fact that we’ll never be debt free? It’s just so wrong, and so dangerous, to carry any debt into retirement because your golden years shouldn’t be spent working at the golden arches.

The biggest pre-retirement step you have to take is that your retirement savings have to come ahead of helping your kids with university costs or other loans or gifts. There are a number of ways to pay for university, but there is only one way to save for retirement, and that is you and your savings. You cannot help others if you cannot help yourself. If you are already retired:

-Cut up your credit cards: At 19% interest they are way too dangerous, and even the minimum payment is robbing you from money for necessities. Never mind that the balance will become almost impossible to pay in full. If you’re going to ignore that advice, at least call them and get your limit reduced to $500 or $1,000.

-Do a budget: You need half an hour to put in writing where your net income is going. Start with the priorities of shelter, food, utilities, medical expenses and the likes. THAT is how you will need to spend your income. It cannot be making a credit card payment first. If the card goes in arrears – so be it.

-If your kids owe you money you need to have a family meeting. Get them in the same room and explain the reality of finances for a retired person. Put the pressure on and demand to get paid back. The niceties are over, it’s time for them to grow up and pay up. You can’t care any longer if they get a loan, line of credit or put it on their credit card – you want to be repaid.

-If you have payments on a vehicle, it has to get sold – today. Those payments are a budget killer for everyone, especially those on a fixed income. You can’t afford them.

-If there is a possibility of collections down the road, your savings and pension money has to be in a bank different from the one who has your credit card, line of credit, or overdraft. Banks have the right to just grab your savings to offset what you owe them. Before that happens, move your money to a financial institution where you do not have any borrowing. It’s critical that you do this, or they can wipe out your savings to pay themselves back.

Graduate Your Teen As a Millionaire

Let’s face it, often our spending today comes with huge debts and monthly payments in the future, and they’re the biggest killers of our dreams and financial freedom.

So how do we avoid those debt traps for our kids? 85% of teenagers never take a course on credit or finances. That means they haven’t got much of a hope of being financially successful from the get-go.

The first thing most teenagers do when leaving the home is to take on a car payment, get a credit card, pay rent, and often have a student loan. But if you have teenager that’s about to leave the home, here’s a deal you can make that’ll insure their financial freedom for the rest of their life.

If the deal works out, they can spend every dollar the make for life. All the credit card debt, the cool car and whatever, because they’re already rich! Your teenager can spend every dollar they earn for the rest of their life – anytime and any amount.

Sounds irresponsible? Not at all – because that’s only half of the deal. The other half is that in order to do this, the only thing your teenager has to do is to save $10,000 by their 20th birthday. Nothing more – nothing less. After that, without getting into debt, or touching these savings, they can literally spend every dollar they make.

It’s the magic of compounding and works with something called the Rule of 72. It’s critical to know this, and to use it to your advantage, no matter what your age. Simply take your rate of return and divide it by 72 – that’s how long it’ll take for your savings to double. So at a 7% rate, it’ll double every 10 years, while a 10% rate will double it every seven years.

Do some lateral thinking of how you can achieve this. Maybe you can charge them rent and keep that in a savings account for them. Some people match whatever the teenager saves to a certain amount. There’s all kinds of ways you can make them focus on it and make it happen.

Why can’t we this as adults? Simple: Because we didn’t save the money when we were younger. The longer you wait, the less time our money has to double up and double up again. If we want the money when we’re 65 years old and start saving at age 50, our savings will only double a couple of times, so we have to save a lot more.

But your 20-year old just has to sit back with all the time in the world and watch his or her savings double again and again until it reaches $1.3 million at age 67, using a 10% rate, and it all started with a one-time saving of $10,000.

Oh, if only we had done this when we were their age. But one more thing: Because they’re teenagers, I’d recommend there’d be two signatures on the account – just in case they get the urge to take some money out…

The Rule of 72: At 10% it’s 72 divided by 10 = money doubles every 7 years
At 11% it’s 72 divided by 11 = money doubles ever 6 ½ years

At age Amount now saved through compounding interest just at a 10% rate
20… 10,000
27… 20,000
34… 40,000
41… 80,000
48… 160,000
55… 320,000
62… 640,000
67… 1,280,000

THAT is the best graduation present I can think of, and it’s not hard to do at all.

The Sad News About our Savings and Debt Loads

US household debt to disposable income is still at 122% as of April. In normal times of the economy and employment levels, anything past 100% isn’t sustainable over an extended period of time. That is, you cannot continuously spend more than you earn. It is a recipe for financial trouble in the long term, and obviously means we can’t save. In Canada, even through the recession, we Canadians kept spending. Our household debt is now 146% of disposable income. We may be more conservative than Americans, we may have lower total debt levels but we’re spending a lot more, over and above what we earn, than our American friends.

On that same issue, the Bank of Canada says that, by 2012, one in 10 households will be spending 40% or more of their household income just paying debt. What does that leave to live on? Already 32% of households have no savings. So it stands to reason that, the more we pay towards our debts, the less money we have to live on, or save.

The National Foundation of Credit Counseling just released a study that, last year, the average person had over $2,000 in unexpected expenses! I keep talking about how critical it is that all of us have a basic emergency fund with two weeks of pay set aside – that’s another reason why. We all know there WILL be an emergency. We just don’t know when, what, or how big it’ll be. What an emergency fund does is to turn a panic and crisis into a minor inconvenience, because we have the money! If not, here we go again…using credit, and thinking that’s a solution, and going further in debt once again. Find a way to have two weeks worth of your pay in an emergency account that you don’t touch for anything else.

According to a company called RealtyTrac, foreclosures in the US, in the first quarter of 2010, are UP 35% over the same time period of 2009. And the credit bureau, Trans Union, found that mortgage arrears are rising, and not falling. In Nevada, 16% of homeowners are in arrears, it’s 15% in Florida, and 11% in Arizona and California.

In Canada, according to a report by the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals, there are about 375,000 people with mortgages who are challenged by their current payments. I don’t know what their definition of challenged means, but it sounds like a problem. If rates increase by just one percent, they expect another half million people could be in trouble. That goes back to what we talked about in the security of a fixed rate, instead of a variable rate mortgage.

Survey Says: We’re Worried About Our Debts…Ya Think?

This week, RBC released their Consumer Outlook survey, and it shows that more and more of us are worried about our debt load. I think that’s great news in that we’re finally getting real and seeing that borrowing money does not work, and being broke is not a fun way to go through life.

Fundamentally, it’s a real problem when we stay optimistic about our debts. THAT is what gets us broke! When we talk ourselves into buying this or that on credit, thinking that the payment isn’t that big a deal, we’re on a slippery slope of trouble. We block out the fact that it might take two minutes to spend it, but it’ll take years to pay it off!

A way better mindset is to be pessimistic about our debts and optimistic about our incomes. Instead, the survey shows that we believe we can become debt free reasonably quickly, but we’re worried about our job security. To me, that’s the wrong way around. We should be pessimistic about our finances. It’s what makes us realize maybe we can’t pay that payment for years, what happens when rates go up, I’m going to be in trouble if I carry my credit card at the max, and so on.

Yet, on the income side, 24% of us are worried about a job loss. To put it in perspective, however, the unemployment rate is 8.5%. But 5.5% or so is full employment. We know that from just a year or so ago. So, the real unemployment rate is around 3% and 24% of us worry. That’s a total disconnect between the two!

On the optimistic side, thinking we’ll pay off our debts pretty quickly, the numbers are even more surprising:

18-34 year olds expect to be debt free by age 43.
35-54 year olds think it’ll be at age 59. Yet, the group that’s closest to that age, those age 55 and older, think it’ll be at least until age 66! So a heads up to those under age 34: It ain’t going to happen! No way, no how – honestly. Sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but the reality is that you’ll likely have a mortgage payment of 25 to 30 years which right there, alone, makes it impossible.

And almost everyone under age 54 has a car payment. The average car payment is $480, financed over seven years. What’s a seven year old car worth? Exactly. So what happens then? We finance another one and go on another seven year broke cycle. Skipping one of these seven year finance cycles and putting that money into an investment account or RRSP will be over a million dollars when you retire. Instead, we buy something that’s worth less and less each month and keep paying and paying.

Keep in mind that every time you commit to a payment, you’re voluntarily taking a pay cut! That payment has to be made, so it’s money you no longer get to keep! It may be that $200 credit card payment, $400 car, the financed furniture, or whatever. Yet, if our boss wants to give us a pay cut we go insane. But we do it to ourselves every time we borrow!

One more thing which will become really important to all of our finances over the next year or so: The RBC survey showed that only 57% of us think interest rates will go higher. Excuse me? Rates are the lowest they’ve been in generations. So when they move, where do they HAVE to go? Up! And every line of credit and every variable mortgage will take some big jumps. The It’s Your Money book has a chart that asks how ready we are for the next rate increase. Anyone with just $150,000 of debt being hit with a 3% rate increase will spend another $329 after tax for nothing but more interest. And if we say we’re broke now, where’s that $329 going to come from?

What can we do? The really easy basics that 90% of us won’t do:
-Stop borrowing – period. When you’re in a hole, it makes sense to stop digging. Debt is NOT your friend.
-Do a written budget each month to know, not guess where your money is going
-Stop going to a restaurant unless you work there
-If your car is financed – sell it, no matter what you owe. That saved payment alone will likely get all your other debts paid off within a year. Drive a $2,000 beater for a couple of years until you’re debt free.
-Pay yourself first: Have some money taken right off your pay, or out of your bank account towards savings. If you don’t see it, you can’t spend it.
-Leave the credit cards with a relative. Out of sight, out of mind, and start paying in cash or by debit card.
-Get an emergency savings account of two weeks income so the next crisis will just be an inconvenience.

Six Short Stories Worth Talking About

It turns out that all that economic happy-talk is mostly that – talk. The U.S. Federal Reserve just released the minutes from their last meeting, and don’t really see much light – just more tunnel. They now expect the economy to shrink by over 2% this year and don’t see much improvement in consumer spending. That’s something I said for two months. About 95% of people get a tax refund this time of the year. Of course consumer spending looks good in March and April. But that’s not a trend.

Newsweek actually ran a story a few weeks ago with the headline: Stop Saving Now! Here we go again, politicians and now the media telling us to spend money to help the economy. Sorry, you gotta look after yourself first, and spending money we don’t have is exactly why we’re here in the first place.

We talked a few weeks ago that for us, just like businesses, debt is a house of cards that won’t last forever. By now, we’ve all heard the stories of the Phoenix Coyotes bankruptcy. The NHL team had over $80 million in debt, and was losing $30 million a year. That’s on top of the City of Glendale, where the Coyotes play, who borrowed $180 million to help build the arena! It’s another example of a business model based on debt that doesn’t work.

If you thought you’d heard of everything in the world of internet dating, think again. There is now a website, creditscoredating.com, where you’ll find dates based on your credit rating. Yes, this site does believe that romance and a good credit score equal success. I’m not sure how or why, but NOW maybe you’ve heard it all – for a while at least. I’m single but someone’s credit rating isn’t going to attract me to someone – sorry.

In this recession, our definition of what we think of as necessities versus luxury items is rapidly changing from three years ago. A Pew Research poll from April shows that our finances definitely influence what’s a must have, instead of a want-to-have:
We think of necessities as a home computer, high speed internet and our cell phone.
But what’s now considered luxury items include microwaves, televisions, dishwashers, and air conditioning.

No More Lineups?
IBM, and the grocery chain, Giant Foods, in the Mid Atlantic area, have rolled out a new way to get in and out of the grocery store in one-third of their stores.
What do we do now? We load items into a basket. Line up at the cash register and unload everything so it can be scanned. Then everything gets re-loaded into bags.
Well, a few years from now that will be about as antiquated as a typewriter. Instead, you’ll get a small portable scanner as you enter the store. Just pick what you’re buying off the shelf and scan it. The scanner will show the price of the item and keep a running total of what you’re purchasing. Put everything you’re buying into a bag, and walk out of the store. That’s it! The total will be debited right out of your bank account, or off your credit card – whatever you have already set up with the store.

Just imagine – no more lineups, no more cashiers, no more unloading and re-packing everything. It’s literally as simple as pulling your purchases off the shelf, scanning them and getting out of there.

Producer Michael Moore, who has done documentaries on President Bush, the U.S. healthcare system and GM, is now making one about Wall Street and the meltdown. It is still unnamed, but scheduled for release in October, and you have to know it’ll be controversial.

Happy RRSP Deadline

So here we are just a few days from this years’ RRSP deadline. It’s the one time in the year when the no-service banks stay open forever in order to get our business. But most of us are still scrambling.

On average, our RRSP contribution is about $2,600. If we think about that, it’s a pretty puny amount to invest in ourselves and for our retirement, isn’t it. Sure, there are maybe 20 percent or so who max out. But for the rest of us it really doesn’t matter what the max is – we tend to think of what the minimum is, instead.

But why? It can’t be because we’re just really happy to pay a whole bunch of extra income tax! No, it’s because we don’t have the money! Yet the fundamental way rich people become rich is by paying themselves first. It really is that simple – yet also very hard.

Will bills and all those monthly payments, we are constantly paying for yesterday instead of investing in tomorrow. No that sounds simple, but it really isn’t. When all of our money goes to pay for yesterday’s stuff, there’s just nothing left over. It’s not like we can skip the car payments, not pay our credit cards or the mortgage for a while.

The trick, OK, it’s not really a trick, is to turn this ship around. When we don’t have all those payments, we have the money left over to invest proactively.

If you’re buried in debt and payments, I would never recommend figuring out how to save for an RRSP at the same time. You are way better off taking that money for a year or so and focusing every ounce of energy and every dollar you have to becoming debt free. I’m not saying never put money into your retirement savings but for a year or so you’ll have a way bigger return when you pay off your debts.

If you have a $400 car payment and are putting $200 into an RRSP, you’re trying to do too many things at once. If the car is paid off, you’ll then have the whole $600 for your retirement savings and you’ll catch up way quicker and will have done it much smarter.

For someone who will do an RRSP, just make sure you take the tax return and either use it to pay off some debt or stick it right back into a 2009 RRSP. THAT is how you get ahead.

For someone who is going to get an RRSP loan, consider making it a little smaller this year and also instructing your investment advisor to automatically take some money out of your chequing account for this coming year. In that way, at the end of 2009 you’ll be ahead because you’ll already have the money saved!

Black Monday: Why You Should Learn the Lessons

Last week we talked about the nightmare of the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, the sale, or give away of Merrill, and the $85 billion loan injection into insurance giant AIG.

There are some big lessons for all of us individuals, as well. Sure, our first thought is about our mutual funds and RRSPs. But how many of us live on credit and are buried in payments of one kind or another?

As long as our income keeps coming in, we’re fine. But what happens when we have to do without a paycheque for two months? That’s the same as cash-flow problems for companies.

What are the odds of doing well, over the long term, if we use borrowed money to do our investing? Now, it’s fine to get a one-year RRSP loan, that’s different. But how many e mails do you want from people who look a line of credit to buy gold at around $1,000 an ounce and it’s now around $800? How many examples would you like of second mortgages to buy tech stocks in the 90s because they were never going to go down and people didn’t want to get left out? It is not investing – that is gambling, pure and simple. When someone jumps out of a 50-storey building, for 49 floors they can convince themselves they can fly. But then reality re-appears in a hurry when they hit bottom.

It’s called leverage and it’s a very dangerous shell game. One of the bankrupt firms was leveraged 33 to 1. That is: for ever dollar of assets, they borrowed $33. When shares, or in their case, these mortgage portfolios they invested in, were going up they were making a ton of money. But with a 33 to 1 ratio if investments drop three percent – that’s all – three percent – their entire assets are wiped out.

When you invest with cash – that’s the most you can lose. When it’s on margin, through leverage, you can be wiped out AND still owe a ton of money after all your cash investment is gone!

The good news? These days the rich will absolutely get richer! Why? There are a bunch of companies who have been around for decades whose stock is trashed for no reason. They have great dividends and their shares just got sucked down with the whole market.

Could you have been one of the rich people? You bet. If you’d have the cash to put into savings instead of paying the credit card, the mortgage, line of credit or the car payments.